AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction 27 Sep 2024

⚽ Serie A - Round 6 Preview

📅 27 Sep 2024

⏰ 19:45 GMT +1

🏟 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

AC Milan secured a dramatic 89th-minute winner from Matteo Gabbia on Sunday, breaking a six-match losing streak against Inter in the Derby della Madonnina and recording back-to-back Serie A wins for the first time since April. Interestingly, their final victory during that previous streak was also at home against Lecce, who return to the San Siro this Friday. Milan has dominated Lecce in home encounters, dropping points just twice at the San Siro since the turn of the century (W10, D2) and keeping five clean sheets in the last six meetings (W5, D1). New manager Paulo Fonseca also has a flawless record against Lecce, having won both prior H2Hs without conceding while coaching Roma in 2019/20.

Lecce began their campaign with defeats against Atalanta and Inter but have since recovered, collecting five points from their next three matches. However, they will feel they should have taken more after blowing a two-goal lead in injury time against Parma last weekend. Had they held on, Lecce would be sitting comfortably in the top half of the table, but instead, they are hovering just above the relegation zone. Despite this, there were positives, as Lecce scored twice in a Serie A game for only the second time in their last 20 matches, breaking a nine-game run where they struggled to find the back of the net.

Where to watch AC Milan vs Lecce?

📺 Link to watch AC Milan vs Lecce Live Stream on TV

📋Players to watch:

• Rafael Leão (AC Milan): Leão has been the standout player in this fixture over the last two seasons, taking the Player of the Match award and scoring in four of his last five H2Hs against Lecce (W3, D2).
• Wladimiro Falcone (Lecce): Lecce’s goalkeeper has kept four clean sheets in his last seven Serie A away games, but his record against Milan is poor, with no wins and 14 goals conceded across six appearances.

⚡️Match Facts:

• Milan has dropped points just twice in home matches against Lecce since 2000.
• Lecce has failed to score more than two goals in all but two of their last 20 Serie A games.
• AC Milan’s last five home league games have averaged over five goals per game.

💡 AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

AC Milan, buoyed by their derby win and strong home form against Lecce, will be confident heading into this match. Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially in away games, should provide Milan with opportunities to score. Expect a high-scoring match with Milan emerging victorious, likely 3-1.

AC Milan vs Lecce Betting Tips

• AC Milan to win
• Over 2.5 goals
• Both teams to score